Breaking it down, adding it up
Updates from the 2008 season, we review the performance of each band:
- Band one review: games 1-5
- Band two review: games 6-9
- Band three review: games 10-12
At Curly R we generally do not make hard and fast predictions about the Redskins season. However after Washington's performance last season (2-0, 3-3, 0-4, 4-0) my neighbors and I decided to look at the Redskins 2008 schedule in terms of bands, the logical clusters of games through which the season will flow.
I broke the season down into four unequal bands and with some reasonably objective input made my best and most realistic guesses on their outcome in each of three scenarios: overperform, perform as expected, underperform, Curly R is predicting a Redskins final record between 10-6 and 4-12 with 8-8 as the solid performer:
| Band | Games | Pretty good | Not bad | I gotta get out |
| 1 | 1. @ Giants 2. vs. Saints3. vs. Cardinals 4. @ Cowboys5. @ Eagles | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| 2 | 6. vs. Rams 7. vs. Browns 8. @ Lions9. vs. Steelers | 3-1 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| 3 | 10. vs. Cowboys 11. @ Seahawks 12. vs. Giants | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| 4 | 13. @ Ravens 14. @ Bengals 15. vs. Eagles16. @ 49ers | 3-1 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Season record | 10-6 | 8-8 | 4-12 |
Band one is the top difficulty, then band three, band four and finally band two.
For things to go well, in the first band it is essential the team steal one road division win and secure one of the two home games. The second band is all non division games and the team needs to make hay. The third band is the second toughest three game stretch on the schedule (after games three, four and five) and by the last band we will know who is fighting hard to make the playoffs and who is trying out players for next season.
It should be noted these predictions were made more than a month ago and upon review this weekend after cuts did not change.
Burroughs adding machine from here. With apologies to Seinfeld for the column headings.
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